Uncle read newspaper: Do you still eat crabs? Economic analysis of donkey's risk

Uncle read newspaper: Do you still eat crabs? The economic analysis of the donkey's dangers: 2016-10-09 14:24

During the National Day, Guangzhou's girls, Ren An, lost their way to join the other three on foot. Kanas lost his way. When Ren was found, he was unfortunately killed. This news shocked the entire holiday, saliva flying! By searching the news client comments, we found that the Ren'an incident was more negative, even many netizens hoped that their families will compensate for the search and rescue costs of the Kanas area, and there are also netizen evaluations. This is no zuo no die, I have seen a few episodes of Pui Yee thinking that he has field survival skills! Since 2011, the Siguniang Mountain Administration required the donkey to pay search and rescue expenses, and such evaluation has almost become a common public opinion flood. The author is puzzled that if you engage in outdoor activities, then are the first batch of civil aviation passengers wearing quilts in World War II do it? Many times, death is also a typical characteristic of the first group of early adopters to eat crabs, if you do not recognize this One point, Tucao engaged in outdoor activities, then our beautiful China can only exist in the documentary, many new era of Xu Xiake. Is outdoor sports really a death-destroying sport? Outdoor sports rose in China around the year 2000. Until today, the number of participants is still not enough. According to a survey conducted by Tianjin University of Finance and Economics in 2014, the number of people participating in outdoor sports in the country was 80 million. According to data released by the China Outdoor Brand Alliance (COA), 60 million people across the country were engaged in outdoor sports such as mountaineering, rock climbing, and walking (4.38% of the total population). In the end, how many people in this group will risk? According to data released by Wang Yunlong, deputy director of the training department of the China Mountaineering Association, at the end of 2015, a total of 416 people died in five categories of 24 outdoor sports in mainland China from 1957-2014. . The number of deaths in 2011 was 26, compared with 45 in 2012, 48 in 2013 and 70 in 2014. With a total of 60 million participants a year, even in the country with the highest death toll in 2014, outdoor sports mortality was only 0.00117. Take Shanghai, where the economy is developed and where there are a large number of outdoor participants, for example, the natural mortality rate for people under the age of 45 (outdoor sports mainly involved in the age group) in 2010 is 1. In contrast, even if the outdoor sports mortality rate is still not yet developed, it is difficult to claim that professional China is not a movement to break natural mortality. If you are interested, you can also compare car accident mortality, football mortality, and even swimming mortality. It should be pointed out that the author is not saying that outdoor sports is safer than football and swimming. The reason why the mortality rate is so low may be related to the extremely low frequency of domestic outdoor sports participants and the difficulty of participating in the project, but this also explains The development of outdoor sports in China is still in its infancy, and specialization requires market cultivation and time. What is the United States outdoor sports search and rescue system? Europe and the United States outdoor sports have been more mature, believing in European skiing, as early as 1948, the Austrian Mountaineering Association called on experienced mountain rescuers from Austria, France, Germany, Switzerland and other countries to set up international mountain rescue. The organization, ICAR for short; the United States also established an international rescue organization Alpine Rescue Association in 1959. Today, the organization is regarded as the most important field adventure rescue association in the United States. The American Alpine Rescue Association is part of the social security system. Therefore, the government’s preferential policies for the relief associations and rescue centers are provided by the government; the Association purchases vehicles and equipment to enjoy tax exemptions; and volunteers participate in training and rescue work. The units that are employed must be unconditionally supported and must not deduct salary. Military, police, insurance, and medical departments must fully support the rescue work. If necessary, the military and the police should provide helicopters and police dogs to the association. The rescue system in many European countries is also similar to that of the United States. The rescue team is mainly composed of volunteers and cooperates with the military, police, insurance, and medical departments to carry out rescue work. Of course, the most important thing is that the United States has a relatively developed insurance system that can take risks for outdoor sports and solve some search and rescue and civil compensation costs. Many people think that how can insurance companies cover such high-risk insurance companies? Then do you think that companies will have to protect rural watermelons from hail damage? Monsanto is now doing such things, one of which is the acquisition of agricultural weather in 2013. The big data company Climate Corporation, which has developed a series of policies in the United States based on public data on numerous rainfall, temperature, and land types. In the United States, for public data such as national parks and other major outdoor fields, insurance companies can use this as a basis to control the P&L ratio for outdoor sports. In Nanjing, a university is also studying how to learn data structures in the United States and establish Chinese outdoor data. The statistical system believes that as the data becomes more and more abundant, the domestic insurance industry will not easily give up this outdoor cake, which is growing rapidly. By then, we may no longer say hello to every friend, but ask him if you want to buy insurance. The comparison of outdoor markets in the United States against ALICE’s death or daring to eat crabs is actually an economic issue. If the outdoor market because of this first batch ALICE development to the extent the United States, I believe that it will reverse the direction of public opinion, as the first batch of reselling TV recorder people do when reform and opening. Compare China and the US market, the US outdoor Foundation announced the "2014 US outdoor sports participation report provides an overview" shows that in 2014 48.4% of Americans participated in outdoor activities at least once. The total number of outdoor activities that 141.4 million Americans in 2014 was 118 billion times. How many times are we counting China? From the perspective of market size, according to Plunkett Research, the US outdoor sports market increased by US$160 billion in 2014, and the annual production value is conservatively estimated at US$730 billion. According to the 2014 China Outdoor Market Report released by the China Outdoor Brands Alliance (COA), the core size of the domestic outdoor sports industry reached 17.06 billion yuan in 2014, and the annual growth rate of China’s outdoor core market from 2000 to 2011 rate of more than 40%, especially in 2011, an increase of nearly 60%, the size increase of 40.3 billion yuan, and then enter an adjustment phase, currently only about 1015% of annual growth. How big is the gap in market size? Everyone can count it. The development of the U.S. market to today is not a pie in the sky. In 1965, the U.S. Congress passed the Land and Water Conservation Fund Act, authorizing the Land and Water Conservation Foundation to fund federal, state, and local government purchases of land, water, and other environmental protection. Facilities are used to meet the needs of people for leisure and recreation. To date, the Land and Water Conservation Foundation has funded 40,000 outdoor sports construction projects that cost US$9 billion. This is one of the important reasons why American national parks are dotted. In addition, including the Obama administration, many US administrations have enacted a number of bills that encourage outdoor sports. At the same time, in the national park alone, from 1992 to 2007, the US government and search and rescue organizations spent $58.57 million on search and rescue operations. 78488 people. From the perspective of market size and government investment, what is the price/performance ratio Americans pay for outdoor sports? Conversely, if there is no market for this annual output value of US$730 billion, will Americans establish such a perfect search and rescue system? outdoor sports Beginning in 1965, the per capita GDP of $ 7952, the national Bureau of Statistics of 2015, per capita GDP about $ 8016, just over the line. This is no accident. Economic development to a certain extent will inevitably lead to outdoor travel. It will take time for safer and more perfect outdoor sports. The bullets have already gone out of business and need to fly for a while. When ALICE travels to die or eat crabs, the market will give us an answer.

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